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大面板出貨面積 今年再增6%

盡管終端市場需求放緩,2017年大尺寸面板市場預計將繼續擴大。IHS Markit預測,2017年面板出貨量預計6.88億片,增長1%,與上一年相比,出貨面積預計比去年同期增長6%,達到1.8億平方米。

2017年LGD仍將繼續盤踞市場龍頭,出貨數量占比達到21%。京東方今年出貨量大幅增加,與2016年相比增長2%,預計全球市場占有率將達到20.7%、逼近LGD,明年可望挑戰大尺寸面板霸主。群創排名第三、市占率16%,友達以15.4%的市占率緊追在后,排名第四位。

從各項應用來看,平板電腦面板出貨量有望在2017年創下歷史最高的增幅,出貨量成長10%至9,300萬臺。IHS Markit首席分析師Peter Su指出,因為一線品牌持續推出越來越多的更大螢幕的平板電腦,搭載10.5吋螢幕的新款iPad pro就是一個很好的例子。

出貨量增長位居第二的應用是NB面板,相比去年同期成長4%,達到約1.75億片。Peter Su分析,大陸面板廠在這個市場正在積極擴張,而一線面板製造商實際上正在逐步減少其面板產量。

另一方面,由于終端市場需求放緩,2017年電視面板出貨量相比去年同期下降3%,減至2.57億臺。Peter Su表示,大尺寸面板的價格近一年來始終維持高位,電視品牌因而修正銷售計畫并減少面板採購。

不過隨著大尺寸面板越來越受消費者的歡迎,按照面積計算的話,2017年所有大尺寸面板出貨量預計將進一步增長。其中電視面板占大尺寸面板總出貨面積的78%,2017年預計將增長5%。

一線面板廠,尤其是韓國面板廠,為了獲得更好的獲利,轉向生產49吋以上更大尺寸的面板,并且減少利潤率較低的小尺寸面板的產量。大陸面板廠製造商也跟著韓國面板廠腳步,逐步增加大尺寸電視面板的產量。大陸目前正在新建多座10.5代面板廠,這些工廠將會顯著增加供應。Peter Su表示,面板廠應對供應過剩的方法之一就是通過提升大尺寸,增加面板面積的消耗量。

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